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đ New All-Time Highs Ahead Following U.S. - EU Trade Deal
Earnings: PSX, WELL, EPD
Market Performance
S&P 500: 6,388 (+0.40%)
Nasdaq: 21,108 (+0.24%)
Dow Jones: 44,901 (+0.47%)
The Streak Keeps Going
U.S. stocks are poised to climb higher as a new EUâTrump trade deal eases fears of a costly trade war. Futures for the S&P 500 rose 0.5%.
Trump and EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced the EU deal on Sunday at Trumpâs golf club in Turnberry, Scotland. This deal will see the bloc face 15% tariffs on most of its exports, including automobiles.
President Trump called it âthe biggest of all the deals.â It could put an end to a trade war that could have delivered a hammer blow to the global economy.
As part of the deal, the EU agreed to purchase $750 billion in American energy products, invest $600 billion in the US on top of existing expenditures, and purchase âvast amountsâ of military equipment, Trump said.
GE Aerospace could be a major beneficiary of the U.S.âEU trade deal as increased EU defense procurement creates new opportunities for GEâs military engine programs.
Our Takeaway
Trade deals with Japan and EU are coming in less worse than expected.
Despite heavy criticism, Trump appears to have secured the better end of the bargain with the EU, winning extensive investment commitments as part of the trade deal. If these promises materialize, significant capital could flow into the U.S.
Investors should keep an eye out for upward GDP revisions, as these could drive corporate earnings.
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Market Overview
Global markets keep putting on new all-time highs as investors cheer the thaw in global trade tensions.
U.S. markets rose modestly on Friday, with the S&PâŻ500 up 0.4%, Nasdaq up 0.2%, and the Dow Jones climbing 0.5%, as all three indexes closed at or near record highs, extending the S&P 500âs winning streak to five straight sessions.
Optimism around strong corporate earningsâhighlighted by an 11% surge in Deckers Outdoor and a nearly 7% gain for Newmontâhelped offset weakness from Intel, which slid about 8â9% after disappointing results and jobâcut announcements.
Investor sentiment remains upbeat after the announcement of the U.S - EU trade deal and ahead of a pivotal week featuring major trade negotiation developments, key Fed commentary, and big tech earnings reports.
Headlines You Can't Miss
Samsung Electronics Co. will produce semiconductors for Tesla Inc. in a new $16.5 billion pact that gives a boost for its underperforming foundry division.
FCC OKs $8bn ParamountâSkydance Deal, says it ensures âdiversity of viewpointsâ at CBS
American's CEO says the airline won't use AI to 'Bait and Switch' ticket shoppers.
Universal Music Group Files for US IPO. Shares in the company, which is based in the Netherlands and trades on the Euronext Amsterdam exchange, are up 10% so far this year.
Fridayâs Biggest Moves in the S&P 500
Earnings Recap
Aon plc (AON) delivered 11% total revenue growth to about $4.16âŻbillion, including 6% organic growth, beating expectations by a slight margin.
Adjusted EPS rose 19% to $3.49, topping analyst consensus (~$3.40), reflecting strong operational efficiency and margin expansion.
Free cash flow surged 59% year-on-year to $732âŻmillion in the quarter, boosting capital return initiatives and debt reduction.
CEO Quoteđ€: âWe delivered strong second quarter results, includingâŻ6% organic revenue growth, 19% growth in adjustedâŻEPS, and 59% free cash flow growth,â said Greg Case, capturing the core momentum of the quarterâ
Phillips 66 (PSX) beat expectations with adjusted EPS of $2.38, outperforming analyst consensus of $1.71, while revenues rose to $33.77âŻbillion, topping forecasts around $32âŻbillion.
Refining was the standout performer: utilization reached 98%, its highest since 2018, margins improved to $11.25 per barrel, and turnaround expenses dropped to $53âŻmillionâa 47% decline year-over-year.
Management highlighted disciplined financials, returning over $900âŻmillion to shareholders via dividends and buybacks, and reaffirmed commitment to their strategy and cash-return targets.
CEO Quoteđ€: âDuring the quarter, Refining ran at the highest utilization since 2018, achieved its lowest cost per barrel since 2021, strong market capture and record yearâtoâdate clean product yield.â
Autonation (AN) posted 8% year-on-year revenue growth, landing at approximately $7.0 billion, slightly below analyst expectations.
The company delivered a strong adjusted EPS of $5.46, well ahead of forecasts (vs. ~$4.70), despite GAAP earnings falling to $2.26 due to impairments.
Performance was broad-based: newâvehicle sales increased 9%, usedâvehicle revenue rose 4%, afterâsales services grew 12%, and customer financing climbed 13%.
CEO Quoteđ€: âWe are pleased to report another quarter of strong performance, with robust growth across the entire business.â
Whatâs Next?
Key Earnings Today đ
Welltower (WELL): Quarterly revenue is forecast to grow by 37% to $2.5 billion while net profit is expected to decline by 30% to $0.74 per share.
Enterprise Product Partners (EPD): Analysts project quarterly revenue growth of 5% to $14.2 billion and with earnings flat at $0.64 per share.
Nucor (NU): Analysts project quarterly revenue growth of 4.6% to $8.45 billion with earnings flat at $2.67 per share.
Kilroy Realty (KRC): Analysts project a quarterly revenue decline of 2.5% to $270 million and a decline in earnings by 46% to $0.59 per share.
Earnings This Week
Investors eagerly await earnings reports by the likes of V, MSFT, AAPL, AMZN, META, PG, SOFI and many more
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