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🗞️ BYD Warns of Slowing EV Demand
PLUS: Alphabet and Apple move higher
Market Performance
S&P 500: 6,448.26 ⬆️ 0.51%
Nasdaq: 21,497.73 ⬆️ 1.03%
Dow Jones: 45,271.23 ⬇️ 0.05%
BYD Gets a Reality Check
Chinese EV giant BYD has quietly reduced its 2025 sales target by 16%, lowering it from an ambitious 5.5 million vehicles to a more conservative 4.6 million.
This dramatic revision marks the company's slowest projected growth in five years, signaling the end of BYD's era of breakneck expansion.
The numbers tell a sobering story. After growing tenfold between 2020 and 2024, BYD is now facing its first consecutive monthly decline in production since the pandemic.
Its economy car segment, the backbone of domestic sales, dropped 9.6% in July, while rival Geely surged 90% in the same category.
What's driving this slowdown? China's brutal EV price war is claiming victims, even among the strongest players.
BYD built its empire on vertical integration and cost efficiency, but even those advantages can't shield it from a deflating economy and intensified competition from companies like Geely and Leapmotor.
Our Takeaway
BYD's target cut isn't just about one company; it's a canary in the coal mine for China's EV boom.
When the industry's cost king starts pumping the brakes, it suggests the easy growth phase is over, and only the most efficient operators will thrive in the new reality.
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Market Overview
Tech stocks powered the S&P 500 to a modest gain as investors celebrated Alphabet's antitrust victory.
The Google parent surged 9.1% after a federal judge ruled the company could keep Chrome while avoiding a breakup.
This "clearing event" lifted the entire tech sector, though concerns about a slowing economy kept the broader market cautious.
Bond yields retreated following the release of disappointing JOLTS data, which showed job openings at pandemic-era lows, thereby heightening the focus on Friday's jobs report.
September's historically weak performance patterns are already emerging, with strategists warning of increased volatility as tariff impacts and political uncertainties loom.
The less tech-focused Dow lagged significantly, reflecting sector-specific strength rather than broad market optimism.
Stock Moves Deciphered 📈
Western Digital (WDC) - Shares climbed 5% after Morgan Stanley named it a "Top Pick" and raised its price target, citing valuation discount and strong AI-driven storage market positioning.
Bruker (BRKR) tumbled over 10% following the announcement of $600 million convertible preferred stock offering, sparking investor concerns over potential share dilution in its most significant one-day drop since July.
DexCom (DXCM) gained 6.2% on news of a CEO transition and upcoming CGM product launches, with investors reacting positively to strategic growth plans and reaffirmed 2025 revenue targets.
Campbell's (CPB) rose over 7% after Q4 earnings exceeded expectations at $0.63 per share versus $0.56 expected, though revenue slightly missed at $2.32 billion versus $2.33 billion estimate.
Headlines You Can't Miss
🍎 Apple benefits from a ruling that allows its $20 billion-plus Google search deal to continue.
📊 Job openings dropped to 7.18 million in July, below the 7.4 million forecast, and near pandemic lows.
💰 Treasury yields fall after weak JOLTS data, 30-year drops below 5%.
🏦 Small-cap inflows hit near-record $1.5B as rate cut expectations build.
🌏 Asia markets mixed on tariff concerns, China services PMI hits 15-month high.
⚡ Solana surges 15% in two weeks, outperforming Bitcoin and Ethereum.
📉 September trading begins with typical monthly weakness, and volatility is expected to rise.
Trending Stocks
Macy's (M) - The department store retailer jumped over 20% after crushing Q2 expectations with $0.41 per share versus $0.18 expected.
Revenue of $4.81 billion also beat the $4.76 billion estimate, prompting management to raise full-year guidance on both earnings and revenue.
Zscaler (ZS) - The cybersecurity company dipped over 1% after it earned $0.89 per share on $719 million in revenue, beating estimates of $0.80 per share on $707 million in revenue, with optimistic current-quarter guidance.
Chipotle (CMG) - Shares received a boost from Rothschild & Company Redburn's upgrade of the stock to "buy" from "neutral" with a $55 price target, implying a 32% upside.
Analysts believe recent weakness reflects cyclical softness rather than structural problems, with unit economics remaining best-in-class.
What’s Next?
Key Events to Watch 👇
Friday Jobs Report: Critical test for markets after weak JOLTS data raised recession concerns.
Fed Chair Interviews: Treasury Secretary Bessent begins interviewing 11 candidates to replace Jerome Powell.
September Volatility: Historically, the worst month for the S&P 500, averaging a 0.7% loss since 1950.
Earnings Watch: Remaining Q2 reports with 78% of S&P 500 companies beating expectations so far.
Tariff Uncertainty: Court ruling on Trump tariffs creates potential refund obligations.
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